IB Mathematics · Grade 9

Probability & Combinatorics

20 essential problems covering Sets, Counting Principles, Permutations, Combinations, and Probability Theory.

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Sets & Venn Diagrams
Union · Intersection · Complement · Cardinality
⚡ Quick Memory Points
Set Key Words
∪ = OR = Union ∩ = AND = Intersection A′ = NOT A = Complement n(A∪B) = n(A)+n(B)−n(A∩B) ∅ = Empty Set A⊆B → A is subset of B
1
Sets Easy · Trap!
In a class of 30 students, 18 play football and 14 play basketball. 8 students play both sports.
How many students play at least one sport?
Formula to remember
$n(F \cup B) = n(F) + n(B) - n(F \cap B)$
Why subtract? Because students in both are counted twice!
A
$32$
B
$24$
C
$22$
D
$26$
2
Sets Medium · Tricky!
Given $U = \{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10\}$, $A = \{2,4,6,8\}$, $B = \{1,2,3,4,5\}$.
Find $n(A' \cap B)$ — the number of elements in B but NOT in A.
Step by step
$A' = $ everything NOT in $A$ $= \{1,3,5,7,9,10\}$
$A' \cap B = $ elements in both $A'$ and $B$
A
$2$
B
$4$
C
$3$
D
$5$
3
Sets Hard · Classic Mistake!
In a survey of 50 people: 30 like tea, 25 like coffee, and 10 like neither.
How many people like both tea and coffee?
Trap Alert ⚠️
First find those who like at least one:
$n(T \cup C) = 50 - 10 = 40$
Then use: $n(T \cup C) = n(T) + n(C) - n(T \cap C)$
$40 = 30 + 25 - n(T \cap C)$  →  solve for $n(T \cap C)$
A
$15$
B
$5$
C
$10$
D
$20$
🔢
Counting Principles
Multiplication Rule · Addition Rule · Tree Diagrams
⚡ Quick Memory Points
AND vs OR
AND → Multiply (×) OR → Add (+) Independent choices → Multiply all together Mutually exclusive → Add
4
Counting Easy
A restaurant offers 4 starters, 6 main courses, and 3 desserts.
How many different 3-course meals are possible?
Key Idea — AND rule
Each choice is independent → multiply:
$4 \times 6 \times 3 = ?$
A
$13$
B
$36$
C
$72$
D
$48$
5
Counting Medium · Trap!
How many 3-digit numbers can be formed using digits $\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5\}$ if repetition is NOT allowed?
Think it through
1st digit: 5 choices  →  2nd digit: 4 choices (one used)  →  3rd digit: 3 choices
Each position has one fewer choice because you can't repeat!
A
$125$
B
$60$
C
$20$
D
$15$
🔀
Permutations
Order Matters · $^nP_r = \dfrac{n!}{(n-r)!}$
⚡ Quick Memory Points
Permutation = ORDER matters (P = Position)
P = Position = ORDER matters $^nP_r = \frac{n!}{(n-r)!}$ $n! = n \times (n-1) \times \cdots \times 1$ $0! = 1$ (always!) ABC ≠ BAC → different arrangements
6
Permutations Easy
In how many ways can 5 students be arranged in a straight line?
Formula
All $n$ objects arranged: $n!$ ways
$5! = 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1$
A
$25$
B
$20$
C
$60$
D
$120$
7
Permutations Medium
From 8 runners, in how many ways can gold, silver, and bronze medals be awarded?
Why Permutation?
Gold ≠ Silver ≠ Bronze → order matters (rank matters)
$^8P_3 = \dfrac{8!}{(8-3)!} = \dfrac{8!}{5!} = 8 \times 7 \times 6$
A
$336$
B
$56$
C
$512$
D
$168$
8
Permutations Hard · Restriction!
How many 4-letter arrangements can be made from the word MATH where M must be first?
Strategy — Fix then count
M is fixed in position 1 → arrange remaining 3 letters (A, T, H) in 3 positions:
$1 \times 3! = 1 \times 6$
A
$24$
B
$6$
C
$12$
D
$4$
🎯
Combinations
Order Does NOT Matter · $\binom{n}{r} = \dfrac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}$
⚡ Quick Memory Points
Combination = CHOOSE (C = Choose, no order)
C = Choose = ORDER doesn't matter $\binom{n}{r} = \frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}$ $\binom{n}{r} = \binom{n}{n-r}$ (symmetry!) $\binom{n}{0} = \binom{n}{n} = 1$ ABC = BAC = CAB → same group
9
Combinations Easy
A committee of 3 people is to be chosen from a group of 7.
How many different committees are possible?
Why Combination?
A committee {Alice, Bob, Carol} = {Carol, Bob, Alice} → order doesn't matter!
$\binom{7}{3} = \dfrac{7!}{3! \cdot 4!} = \dfrac{7 \times 6 \times 5}{3 \times 2 \times 1}$
A
$21$
B
$210$
C
$35$
D
$42$
10
Combinations Hard · Perm vs Comb!
From 10 students, a president and vice-president are chosen. How many ways is this possible?
(Compare this to choosing a 2-person committee!)
The Classic P vs C Trap
President + VP → roles are different → ORDER matters → Use $^{10}P_2$
Committee of 2 → same role → order doesn't matter → Use $\binom{10}{2}$
$^{10}P_2 = 10 \times 9 = ?$    vs    $\binom{10}{2} = 45$
A
$45$
B
$20$
C
$100$
D
$90$
11
Combinations Medium
A hand of 5 cards is dealt from a standard deck of 52 cards.
How many different 5-card hands are possible?
Key reasoning
A hand of cards has no order → combination
$\binom{52}{5} = \dfrac{52!}{5! \times 47!} = \dfrac{52 \times 51 \times 50 \times 49 \times 48}{5!}$
A
$311,875,200$
B
$2,598,960$
C
$52,000$
D
$1,299,480$
🎲
Basic Probability
Sample Space · Classical Probability · Complementary Events
⚡ Quick Memory Points
Probability Essentials
$P(A) = \frac{\text{favourable}}{\text{total}}$ $P(A') = 1 - P(A)$ $0 \leq P(A) \leq 1$ always $P(\text{impossible}) = 0$ $P(\text{certain}) = 1$ Complement = easier path!
12
Probability Easy · Complement!
A fair die is rolled. What is the probability of NOT rolling a 6?
Use the complement — always faster!
$P(\text{not 6}) = 1 - P(6) = 1 - \dfrac{1}{6}$
A
$\dfrac{5}{6}$
B
$\dfrac{1}{6}$
C
$\dfrac{4}{6}$
D
$\dfrac{2}{3}$
13
Probability Medium
A bag contains 4 red, 3 blue, and 5 green balls. One ball is drawn at random.
What is the probability it is red or green?
OR rule for mutually exclusive events
Red and Green cannot happen at same time → add
$P(R \cup G) = P(R) + P(G)$   (since $P(R \cap G) = 0$)
A
$\dfrac{4}{12}$
B
$\dfrac{5}{12}$
C
$\dfrac{3}{4}$
D
$\dfrac{7}{12}$
🔗
Conditional & Combined Probability
Independent · Dependent · Conditional $P(A|B)$
⚡ Quick Memory Points
Independence vs Dependence
Independent: $P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)$ Conditional: $P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}$ With replacement → Independent Without replacement → Dependent A|B = "A given B already happened"
14
Conditional P Hard · Most Missed!
A bag has 5 red and 3 blue balls. Two balls are drawn without replacement.
What is the probability that both are red?
Without replacement = dependent events
$P(\text{both red}) = P(1\text{st red}) \times P(2\text{nd red} \mid 1\text{st red})$
$= \dfrac{5}{8} \times \dfrac{4}{7}$
After drawing 1 red, only 4 red remain out of 7 total!
A
$\dfrac{25}{64}$
B
$\dfrac{20}{56} = \dfrac{5}{14}$
C
$\dfrac{5}{8}$
D
$\dfrac{10}{64}$
15
Conditional P Medium
Two fair coins are tossed. Given that at least one head appeared, what is the probability that both are heads?
Conditional probability formula
Sample space: $\{HH, HT, TH, TT\}$
Event B = "at least one head" $= \{HH, HT, TH\}$  →  $P(B) = \frac{3}{4}$
Event A = "both heads" $= \{HH\}$  →  $P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4}$
$P(A|B) = \dfrac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} = \dfrac{1/4}{3/4}$
A
$\dfrac{1}{3}$
B
$\dfrac{1}{4}$
C
$\dfrac{1}{2}$
D
$\dfrac{2}{3}$
16
Independence Medium · Trap!
Events $A$ and $B$ are independent. $P(A) = 0.4$ and $P(B) = 0.3$.
Find $P(A \cup B)$.
Don't forget to subtract the overlap!
Independent → $P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) = 0.4 \times 0.3 = 0.12$
$P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)$
Common mistake: students forget to subtract $P(A \cap B)$!
A
$0.70$
B
$0.12$
C
$0.58$
D
$0.10$
🌟
Mixed Challenge
Combining all concepts — the problems most students get wrong
17
Prob + Combination Hard
A committee of 4 is chosen from 6 men and 4 women.
What is the probability the committee has exactly 2 women?
Strategy — Favourable ÷ Total
Total ways to choose 4 from 10: $\binom{10}{4}$
Favourable: choose 2 women from 4 AND 2 men from 6:
$\binom{4}{2} \times \binom{6}{2}$
$P = \dfrac{\binom{4}{2} \times \binom{6}{2}}{\binom{10}{4}}$
A
$\dfrac{1}{3}$
B
$\dfrac{3}{7}$
C
$\dfrac{6}{10}$
D
$\dfrac{1}{5}$
18
Counting Hard · Restriction!
How many ways can 6 people sit in a row if two specific friends must sit together?
Glue Trick — treat the pair as one unit!
Step 1: Glue the 2 friends → now you have 5 "units" to arrange: $5!$ ways
Step 2: The 2 friends can swap within their pair: $2!$ ways
Total $= 5! \times 2! = 120 \times 2$
A
$360$
B
$120$
C
$144$
D
$240$
19
Sets + Probability Hard · Most Confusing!
$P(A) = 0.5$, $P(B) = 0.4$, $P(A \cup B) = 0.7$.
Are events $A$ and $B$ independent?
Independence Test
Step 1: Find $P(A \cap B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cup B) = 0.5 + 0.4 - 0.7 = 0.2$
Step 2: Check if $P(A) \times P(B) = P(A \cap B)$
$0.5 \times 0.4 = 0.2$ ← does this equal $P(A \cap B)$?
A
Yes, independent because $P(A)\cdot P(B) = P(A\cap B)$
B
No, not independent because $P(A \cup B) \neq 1$
C
No, not independent because $P(A \cap B) = 0$
D
Cannot be determined
20
Probability Boss Level 🏆
A password consists of 3 letters followed by 2 digits (0–9).
Letters are from A–Z (26 letters), no repetition allowed for letters; digits can repeat.
How many passwords are possible?
Break it into parts — AND rule
Letters (order matters, no repeat): $^{26}P_3 = 26 \times 25 \times 24$
Digits (order matters, repeat allowed): $10 \times 10$
Total $= ^{26}P_3 \times 10^2$
A
$1,404,000$
B
$260,000$
C
$1,560,000$
D
$175,760$